Three Strategic Reasons Why the UPND Could Be Dislodged from Power- (By someone who works with numbers and sees the future through data)!
I work with numbers. And sometimes, numbers make people age faster than they should because numbers tell uncomfortable truths. In our world, we operate in what we call the “strategic upward zone” a mindset that is always scanning the horizon for signals, risks, and trends that can change the direction of a country. From that lens, I see three critical factors that could lead to the dislodging of the UPND from power.
1. Broken Promises and the Erosion of Public
Trust is currency in politics. When you lose it, you’re bankrupt. One of the biggest risks facing the UPND is the growing loss of public trust due to unfulfilled promises. Zambians were promised a dramatic reduction in the cost of living, jobs for the youth, cheaper fuel, lower electricity tariffs, the repeal of oppressive laws, and a truly independent fight against corruption. Yet today, many of those promises either remain unfulfilled or have become sources of public frustration. Each broken promise is a withdrawal from the trust bank and the account is running low.
2. The Anger is the Opposition
Zambia doesn’t need a polished opposition leader to be angry. Right now, the Zambian voter is the opposition. The average citizen is disillusioned and disappointed. It’s the ordinary marketeer, the minibus driver, the graduate without a job, the farmer with no fertilizer, they are the opposition, not a single party or face. When people are angry and feel let down, they don’t necessarily look for a polished alternative; they just vote against the status quo. That emotional shift is dangerous for any party in power.
3. Lack of a Visible Succession Plan and long term strategy
Power without continuity breeds instability. One of UPND’s weakest points internally is the lack of a visible succession plan. If there is one, even we who are close haven’t seen or heard it. Who steps in if President Hakainde Hichilema is unable to continue? Who is being groomed? Is there a bench of emerging leadership that reflects the party’s values and direction? In the absence of that, the party risks collapse or fragmentation in times of transition, and voters sense that vulnerability.
Conclusion
You will remember these words from this genius. The clock is ticking. Trust must be rebuilt through tangible action. The anger of ordinary citizens must be acknowledged and addressed. And internally, the party must prepare for the future beyond today’s leadership.
In strategy, early warning signs are a gift. Whether we use them or ignore them, that’s what defines winners and losers.
Ali, CPA
My friend you are a DREAMER…..!! No opposition has a Great structure like UPND. Wait for UPND to for the Second Term then you will see the succession plan. Nkandu, Mweetwa, Garry they are ALL there.
You are just a deranged guy like Mama Esther and HaaIndingoTyrol…. Who ate politicizing the death of ECL.
HaaIndingoTyrol is shocked that the LUNGU HAD No intention of coming back to Zambia!!!
A hopeless dreamer for that matter. These are the people that will collapsing when the election results will be ready out in august 2026. What these dreamer are forgetting is that upnd support base is not based on individual benefits but on loyalty that has stood a test of time of over 20 years while on the other hand the opposition support which mainly pf was based on individual benefits. Now that the opposition has nothing to offer and it’s in disarray, these pf supporters have no real motivation to go out and vote in august 2026. Up d supporters are independent, self sustaining and hard working individuals unlike the opposition supporters that are hungry, lazy and hand out seeking individuals that can easily be bought. So there is no real opposition in 2026. I feel sorry for those that hope to have their criminal cases ended based on their expectation of 2026 general elections.
Keep on dreaming with your numbers. Guess you don’t know that CDF is working,hospitals are being built,School are being built as well, and children have desks. You still don’t know that we have companies coming in to invest in Zambia and some are already here creating employment. Mines you closed are now opening employing your brothers and sisters.Stabilising the economy takes time for you to see the results. Its not a tantameni scheme,you want to eat now kind of situation that’s your bad mentality. People who appreciate what HH has achieved is not you and you have never been. Keep lamenting. They will vote for him massively. Keep your vote for kalaba and Lubinda
Not making sense, not a bit
Ba statistician
Where are the numbers??Stop smoking dry cow dung.It can be very addictive
A hopeless dreamer for that matter. These are the people that will collapsing when the election results will be ready out in august 2026. What these dreamer are forgetting is that upnd support base is not based on individual benefits but on loyalty that has stood a test of time of over 20 years while on the other hand the opposition support which mainly pf was based on individual benefits. Now that the opposition has nothing to offer and it’s in disarray, these pf supporters have no real motivation to go out and vote in august 2026. Up d supporters are independent, self sustaining and hard working individuals unlike the opposition supporters that are hungry, lazy and hand out seeking individuals that can easily be bought. So there is no real opposition in 2026. I feel sorry for those that hope to have their criminal cases ended based on their expectation of 2026 general elections.
Eli mwashibuka ba Mudala, mwashibukeni. Ifiloto fyonse tefyakukonkelela.
I just wasted 5 minutes of my time reading a whole lot of nonsense. The article heading has no coloration with its contents. Where are the numbers & data? All the writer mumbles about is all subjective issues. In the writers views NO promises have been kept, Zambians are not thinkers they can vote for anything and current govt has no vision. The only thing i can give the writer a free ride on is that everyone is entitled to their opinion. Next time just head your article properly like “My opinion for 2026” so we don’t waste time on articles without substance